BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Elgin Valley
Class: 1A Class Rank: 20 Conference: (11-6) Overall: (13-10) Overall Strength = 58.63
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/30/2004 Home W 55.08 60 59 2A 68 (11-12) North Linn -4.08 5.08
2 12/02/2004 Away L 41.81 54 65 1A 43 (14-10) Alburnett -17.34 6.34
3 12/10/2004 Away L * 49.59 29 52 2A 15 (22- 3) Clayton Ridge -9.57 -13.43
4 12/11/2004 Home L 54.57 53 55 1A 16 (14- 8) East Buchanan -4.59 2.59
5 12/14/2004 Away W * 59.73 51 45 1A 48 ( 6-16) Postville 0.57 5.43
6 12/21/2004 Home W * 70.85 64 44 1A 39 (12-14) Elkader Central 11.70 8.30
7 01/07/2005 Away L * 45.52 52 58 2A 88 ( 5-17) Monona MFL MarMac -13.63 7.63
8 01/08/2005 Home W * 55.01 45 44 2A 65 ( 6-16) South Winneshiek -4.15 5.15
9 01/14/2005 Away W * 50.61 64 58 1A 73 (10-12) Lansing Kee -8.55 14.55
10 01/15/2005 Away W 34.91 59 42 1A 150 ( 0-22) Central City -24.25 * 41.25
11 01/18/2005 Away L * 56.30 64 73 2A 37 (14- 9) Turkey Valley -2.85 -6.15
12 01/25/2005 Away L 58.22 35 36 1A 21 (16- 8) Dunkerton -0.94 -0.06
13 01/28/2005 Home L * 52.89 53 55 2A 63 (10-10) North Fayette -6.27 4.27
14 01/29/2005 Home L * 68.25 62 63 2A 15 (22- 3) Clayton Ridge 9.09 -10.09 was 01/11/05 now 01/29/05
15 02/01/2005 Home W * 65.38 71 51 1A 68 ( 6-17) Maynard West Central 6.23 13.77
16 02/04/2005 Away W * 65.19 52 41 1A 39 (12-14) Elkader Central 6.04 4.96
17 02/05/2005 Home W * 69.25 59 55 2A 27 (18- 6) Sumner SF 10.10 -6.10 was 01/21/05 now 02/05/05
18 02/08/2005 Away W * 68.35 68 57 2A 65 ( 6-16) South Winneshiek 9.19 1.81
19 02/11/2005 Home W * 51.39 51 50 1A 48 ( 6-16) Postville -7.77 8.77
20 02/18/2005 Home W * 62.18 62 48 2A 88 ( 5-17) Monona MFL MarMac 3.02 10.98
21 02/19/2005 Away L 94.38 50 62 EX 2 ( 3- 0) Spring Grove MN 35.23 * -47.23 was 01/04/05 now 02/19/05
22 02/23/2005 Neutral W * 77.94 78 43 1A 73 (10-12) Lansing Kee 18.78 16.22
23 02/28/2005 Away L * 53.19 51 52 1A 39 (12-14) Elkader Central -5.96 4.96
Averages 59.16 56.0 52.5
Best game: 94.38 = 12 point loss to Spring Grove MN
Worst game: 34.91 = 17 point win over Central City
Team stdev: 12.65